Will Waymo have a service area of 1,200 square miles before July 1, 2026? binary

Long bet rerun: will driverless cars be commercially available in Las Vegas, NV by May 28, 2029? binary

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037? binary

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads? date

When will commercially available robots be able to build IKEA furniture on their own? date

When will self-driving taxis be available in at least one large German city? date

Will Tesla operate 400,000 driverless robotaxis over any three consecutive months before 2032? binary

When will a general purpose robotic manipulator be available, at a price under 1k (2022 USD)? date

When will commercially available robots be able to build a personal computer on their own? date

When will general-purpose robots be able to build a small house on their own? date

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027? binary