Will 1,000,000 unmanned ground vehicles be deployed by Russian or Ukrainian forces during a single calendar year before 2031? binary

Will any national military or state-affiliated armed forces deploy at least 5,000 quadruped robots in an active conflict zone before 2031? binary

Will any organization or state launch a $500 billion project aimed at scaling robot manufacturing before 2031? binary

Will Russia order a general mobilization before January 1, 2027? binary

How many robotics companies will reach a valuation of over $100B before 2032? discrete

When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict? date

Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027? binary

Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers? binary

How many units of humanoid robots will be cumulatively sold globally for performing domestic tasks before 2031? numeric

What proportion of global high-precision reducers unit shipments will Chinese manufacturers collectively hold by the end of 2030? numeric

What will be the global number of full time programmers working in 2030 relative to the number working in 2024, in percent? numeric

What will be the global number of physicians working in 2030 relative to the number working in 2024, in percent? numeric

What will be the maximum number of drone deliveries that will be made in a single year before 2031? numeric

What will be the mean of the top 10 scores on the Metaculus 2026 Peer Accuracy leaderboard? numeric

When will commercially available robots be able to build a personal computer on their own? date

When will general-purpose robots be able to build a small house on their own? date

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia? date

When will Volodymyr Zelensky cease to hold the office of President of Ukraine? date

Will Professor Layton and the New World of Steam be released in 2026? binary

Will Russia have an AI data center with >10,000 H100e before 2027? binary

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031? binary

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027? binary

Will Ukraine conclude a peace treaty with the Russian Federation by the end of 2030? binary

Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013? binary