Will the US and China jointly announce a new bilateral trade agreement in 2026? binary

Will the US and China reach a formal agreement to limit frontier AI training or deployment before 2029? binary

Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027? binary

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030? binary

Will there be a US-China war before 2035? binary

What will the effective US tariff rate on goods being imported into the United States be at the end of 2026? numeric

Will the United States recognize Taiwan before January 20, 2029? binary

When will Xi Jinping leave power in China? date

Will China's GDP exceed the United States' GDP in any year before 2041? binary

Will the United States and China sign a formal, verifiable bilateral treaty or accord specifically limiting Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) development by December 31, 2030? binary

Will the US-China Tension index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029? binary

Will Xi Jinping continue leading China in 2030? binary

By 2030-12-31, will the PRC seek control of TSMC's Taiwan ops (direct or indirect)? binary

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force? binary

If the U.S. detonates a nuclear weapon offensively as a first use before 2035, will China have first officially renounced their “no first use” policy? binary

If World War 3 happens before 2060, will the US and China be on the same side? binary

Will a Chinese firm market an EUV photolithography machine before 2033? binary

Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033? binary

Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan? binary

Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before if there is interference with Taiwan? binary

Will China recognize the sovereignty of Taiwan by 2050? binary

Will China's GDP Overtake the US Before 2030? binary

Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan? binary

Will there be a US-China war before 2050? binary